Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:23
Longridge Town

Longridge Town

Home
L
14
Full time
Clitheroe

Clitheroe

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Clitheroe33%
Longridge Town33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Clitheroe
Win probability
Longridge Town
33%
Draw
33%
Clitheroe
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Longridge Town
34
Clitheroe
99
Defence
Longridge Town
1
Clitheroe
66
Momentum
Longridge Town
0
Clitheroe
100
Danger (xG)
Longridge Town
0.90
Clitheroe
3.60
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.24 xG for Longridge Town and 2.28 xG for Clitheroe — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Longridge Town holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.53 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Longridge Town)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Clitheroe)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Longridge Town)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Clitheroe)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Longridge TownLongridge Town
L
ClitheroeClitheroe
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Longridge Town33%
Draw33%
Clitheroe33%

Clitheroe leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Clitheroe Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Longridge Town host Clitheroe in Friendlies Clubs. Longridge Town have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Clitheroe arrive with a run of DLLDWD. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.24 for Longridge Town and 2.28 for Clitheroe. The gap of 1.04 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Longridge Town 0Draws 01 Clitheroe
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Longridge Town
L14
Clitheroe

Recent form

Longridge Town

Longridge Town

L
vs Clitheroe
17 Jul 2026
14
Clitheroe

Clitheroe

W
@ Longridge Town
17 Jul 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Longridge Town vs Clitheroe?

GoalVio's model predicts Clitheroe to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Longridge Town vs Clitheroe?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Longridge Town vs Clitheroe?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Longridge Town vs Clitheroe?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more