Longford Townvs
UCD
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 3/7/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Longford Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while UCD are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
14.2%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40