Longford Townvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Longford Town 0-2 Treaty United
Original prediction
Longford Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.5% | 55.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 24.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.3% | 20.1% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80