GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Treaty United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Treaty UnitedLLWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Longford TownTreaty United
43.2Attack32.1
58.0Defence51.9
45.7Form35.8
50.4Power42.1
1.37xG0.72
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