Longford Townvs
St Patrick's Athl.
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 7/23/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while St Patrick's Athl. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the FAI Cup, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40