Longford Townvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 3/28/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Longford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Finn Harps are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
68.0%
Model confidence
15.3%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20