Longford Townvs
Cork City
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Longford Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cork City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00