GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/4/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cobh Ramblers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Cobh RamblersWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Longford TownCobh Ramblers
43.2Attack35.8
58.0Defence54.3
45.7Form45.7
50.4Power46.8
1.28xG0.82
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