GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 2/18/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Longford Town are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Athlone Town are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Longford TownLLL

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Athlone TownLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Longford TownAthlone Town
43.2Attack32.1
58.0Defence59.3
45.7Form38.3
50.4Power45.4
1.15xG0.73
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