Londrinavs
Ponte Preta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Londrina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Londrina 1-0 Ponte Preta, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Londrina 6-0 Ponte Preta
Original prediction
Londrina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.0% | 69.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.7% | 19.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 9.04 | 10.3% | 10.8% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Londrina 1–0 Ponte Preta
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Londrina
Probability
69.7%
Model confidence
69.7%
Londrina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LondrinaWLDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ponte PretaLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 14 · avg 0.00/2.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
LondrinaPonte Preta
39.5Attack19.8
51.9Defence30.9
30.9Form12.3
41.7Power24.8
1.84xG0.59