Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Londrina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Londrina are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Penedense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Londrina hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Londrina holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Londrina
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
15.3%
Londrina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60