GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Operario-PR · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Londrina 1-2 Operario-PR

Original prediction

Operario-PR

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5037.4%34.4%-3.0 pts
Draw3.0730.5%28.3%-2.2 pts
Away2.9132.1%37.3%5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

Operario-PR

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Operario-PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LondrinaDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Operario-PRDDLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LondrinaOperario-PR
38.7Attack41.3
52.0Defence57.3
29.3Form49.3
40.8Power51.2
1.02xG1.13
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