Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Londrina 0-0 Juventude, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Londrina 0-0 Juventude
Original prediction
Juventude
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 30.1% | 22.6% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.8% | 30.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 39.0% | 47.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Londrina 0–0 Juventude
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LondrinaLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuventudeWWDWL
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LondrinaJuventude
40.3Attack36.1
50.0Defence81.9
29.2Form62.5
40.6Power61.9
0.57xG1.06