Londrinavs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Londrina 0-0 Fortaleza EC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Londrina 1-2 Fortaleza EC
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 32.5% | 29.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 31.1% | 30.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.5% | 40.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Londrina 0–0 Fortaleza EC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LondrinaWWLDL
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortaleza ECDWWDW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
LondrinaFortaleza EC
45.2Attack36.9
53.6Defence72.6
33.3Form57.1
43.9Power57.3
0.76xG0.98