Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cuiaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Londrina 0-0 Cuiaba, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Londrina 1-0 Cuiaba
Original prediction
Cuiaba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.9% | 28.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 30.1% | 31.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 37.0% | 40.0% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Londrina 0–0 Cuiaba
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Cuiaba
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Cuiaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LondrinaDLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CuiabaLDWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
LondrinaCuiaba
42.4Attack32.3
50.5Defence73.7
29.3Form47.5
41.0Power52.7
0.69xG0.91