Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Londrina 0-0 Criciuma, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Londrina 0-2 Criciuma
Original prediction
Criciuma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 31.3% | 30.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.6% | 30.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.1% | 38.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Londrina 0–0 Criciuma
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LondrinaLLWWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CriciumaWLLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
LondrinaCriciuma
43.3Attack34.4
52.2Defence70.0
31.1Form55.6
42.2Power55.4
0.80xG0.94