Serie BSerie B
Saturday, 20 June 2026Last updated 10:10
Londrina

Londrina

Home
DW
20
Full time
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Londrina(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Londrina
Win probability
Londrina
36%
Draw
30%
Athletic Club
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Londrina
94
Athletic Club
9
Defence
Londrina
82
Athletic Club
82
Momentum
Londrina
67
Athletic Club
17
Danger (xG)
Londrina
3.13
Athletic Club
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Londrina)
3.13
avg per match
xG for (Athletic Club)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Londrina)
1.05
avg per match
xG against (Athletic Club)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LondrinaLondrina
DWDWL
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
DLWLL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Londrina36%
Draw30%
Athletic Club33%

Londrina leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Londrina head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (DW), while Athletic Club arrive in mixed form (DL). Londrina have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Athletic Club over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Londrina (82/100) and Athletic Club (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Londrina have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Athletic Club have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Londrina have generated 1.75 xG per game recently while conceding 2.10 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Londrina have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Londrina to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Londrina 3645%, Draw 3019%, Athletic Club 3335%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Londrina 1Draws 00 Athletic Club
Avg goals: 2.0
20 Jun 2026
Londrina
W20
Athletic Club

Recent form

Londrina

Londrina

D
@ America Mineiro
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.8
W
vs CRB
4 Jul 2026
50
D
@ Cuiaba
26 Jun 2026
22
W
vs Athletic Club
20 Jun 2026
20
L
vs São Bernardo
12 May 2026
02
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

D
@ Ceara
14 Jul 2026
00
L
vs Operario-PR
8 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Avai
28 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Londrina
20 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Internacional
12 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Londrina vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts Londrina to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Athletic Club?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Londrina vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Londrina vs Athletic Club?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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