Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Londrina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Londrina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while ABC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Londrina hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Serie B, while Londrina holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Londrina
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Londrina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40