London City Lionesses Wvs
Manchester United W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
London City Lionesses W 2-1 Manchester United W
Original prediction
Manchester United W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 30.2% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.3% | 22.6% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 30.1% | 47.1% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United W
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Manchester United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40