GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

London City Lionesses W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

London City Lionesses W 2-1 Everton W

Original prediction

London City Lionesses W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2970.8%58.7%-12.1 pts
Draw4.8918.7%22.8%4.1 pts
Away8.6610.6%18.6%8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

London City Lionesses W

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

London City Lionesses WWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton WWLWWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
London City Lionesses WEverton W
100.0Attack26.7
66.7Defence73.3
80.0Form60.0
79.7Power56.5
1.83xG0.86
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