GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

London City Lionesses W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

London City Lionesses W 2-0 Brighton W

Original prediction

London City Lionesses W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8349.4%50.0%0.6 pts
Draw3.6524.8%24.8%-0.0 pts
Away3.5125.8%25.3%-0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

London City Lionesses W

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

London City Lionesses W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

London City Lionesses WWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Brighton WWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
London City Lionesses WBrighton W
77.8Attack33.3
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form22.2
66.7Power40.2
2.02xG1.12
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