Lommel Unitedvs
KV Mechelen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/19/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lommel United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lommel United 0-0 KV Mechelen
Original prediction
Lommel United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 36.2% | 50.5% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.9% | 24.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 37.0% | 24.9% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Lommel United
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Lommel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40