Lommel Unitedvs
Club Brugge KV
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Brugge KV · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lommel United 0-1 Club Brugge KV
Original prediction
Club Brugge KV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.83 | 10.6% | 29.2% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.94 | 15.7% | 24.6% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 73.8% | 46.2% | -27.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Club Brugge KV
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Club Brugge KV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80