GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/18/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lommel United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lommel United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Club Brugge II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lommel United hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Challenger Pro League, while Lommel United holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lommel United

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Lommel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lommel UnitedWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club Brugge IIWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lommel UnitedClub Brugge II
54.9Attack44.4
66.7Defence45.6
58.8Form41.1
60.7Power45.3
2.02xG0.78
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