Lokomotíva Zvolenvs
Považská Bystrica
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Považská Bystrica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2-1 Považská Bystrica
Original prediction
Považská Bystrica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.8% | 17.9% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 18.6% | -8.1 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.5% | 63.4% | 26.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
26.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Považská Bystrica
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Považská Bystrica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20