Lokomotíva Košicevs
AS Trencin
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/14/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Trencin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotíva Košice 0-1 AS Trencin
Original prediction
AS Trencin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.50 | 16.4% | 35.2% | 18.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.3% | 24.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.4% | 40.8% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
AS Trencin
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
AS Trencin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60