GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 4/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

WIT Georgia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while WIT Georgia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and WIT Georgia hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Liga 3, while WIT Georgia holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

WIT Georgia

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

18.8%

WIT Georgia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotivi TbilisiLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WIT GeorgiaWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiWIT Georgia
31.4Attack52.9
56.9Defence70.6
39.2Form54.9
45.0Power59.6
0.57xG1.31
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