Lokomotivi Tbilisivs
Varketili
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varketili · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0-2 Varketili, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 3-3 Varketili
Original prediction
Varketili
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.76 | 18.9% | 11.8% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 19.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 57.9% | 68.8% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Projected Score
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0–2 Varketili
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Varketili
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Varketili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lokomotivi TbilisiDWDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VarketiliWDWDL
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiVarketili
36.8Attack87.7
59.6Defence84.2
42.1Form82.5
47.7Power81.6
0.59xG2.02