Lokomotivi Tbilisivs
Merani Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 10/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotivi Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1-2 Merani Tbilisi
Original prediction
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.3% | 36.4% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 28.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.5% | 34.7% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Lokomotivi Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20