GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotivi Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotivi Tbilisi are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Merani Martvili are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotivi TbilisiLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Merani MartviliLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Lokomotivi TbilisiMerani Martvili
46.3Attack33.3
54.6Defence83.3
47.2Form66.7
50.7Power64.8
1.25xG1.17
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