Lokomotivi Tbilisivs
Irao
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Liga 3 · 9/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2-0 Irao
Original prediction
Irao
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.7% | 26.3% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 24.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 48.8% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lokomotivi TbilisiLDDWD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IraoLWLWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotivi TbilisiIrao
39.7Attack56.7
55.6Defence65.0
39.7Form55.0
46.6Power58.9
0.87xG1.44