GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/20/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Borjomi are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotivi Tbilisi II hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Liga 3, while Lokomotivi Tbilisi II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotivi Tbilisi IILWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
BorjomiWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Lokomotivi Tbilisi IIBorjomi
52.9Attack34.5
35.6Defence36.8
46.0Form32.2
45.7Power36.9
2.23xG1.19
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