Lokomotive LeipzigvsErzgebirge Aue

Lokomotive Leipzig are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Erzgebirge AUE are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge AUE hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Erzgebirge AUE holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.