GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/13/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eintracht Frankfurt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lokomotive Leipzig are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eintracht Frankfurt are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Eintracht Frankfurt hold a 66.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the DFB Pokal, while Eintracht Frankfurt holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Eintracht Frankfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotive LeipzigLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Eintracht FrankfurtDDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotive LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
7.0Power73.7
1.42xG2.53
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