Lokomotive Leipzigvs
BSG Chemie Leipzig
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotive Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotive Leipzig 2-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig
Original prediction
Lokomotive Leipzig
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.0% | 60.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.4% | 19.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotive Leipzig
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Lokomotive Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20