GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotive Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotive Leipzig are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Altglienicke are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Altglienicke hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Lokomotive Leipzig holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotive Leipzig

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Lokomotive Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotive LeipzigWWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AltglienickeWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lokomotive LeipzigAltglienicke
75.0Attack91.7
41.7Defence41.7
58.3Form66.7
60.3Power68.0
2.03xG1.90
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