Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rubin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Premier League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80