Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Navbahor are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60