Lokomotiv Moscowvs
Krylya Sovetov
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/16/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Moscow · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 Krylya Sovetov
Original prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 50.6% | 41.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.4% | 28.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 24.0% | 30.0% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Moscow
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Lokomotiv Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20