GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 3/11/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kokand-1912 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LokomotivWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kokand-1912LLWDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LokomotivKokand-1912
50.0Attack27.1
54.2Defence50.0
52.1Form25.0
54.1Power36.7
1.70xG0.64
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