Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lokomotiv are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Urartu are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40