Lokomotivvs
FC Orenburg
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv 2-0 FC Orenburg
Original prediction
Lokomotiv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 43.6% | 53.3% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 26.0% | 23.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 30.4% | 23.2% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00