Lokomotivvs
FC Krasnodar
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Krasnodar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar
Original prediction
FC Krasnodar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 27.7% | 28.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 44.7% | 44.0% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
FC Krasnodar
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
FC Krasnodar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20