Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv 0-1 Dynamo
Original prediction
Lokomotiv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 29.4% | 35.7% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 26.1% | 28.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 44.4% | 35.4% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LokomotivLLDDD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
DynamoWLLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LokomotivDynamo
25.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
25.0Form16.7
42.1Power36.5
1.13xG0.97