Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dynamo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Premier League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
14.8%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00