Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 15:00
Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv

Home
W
10
Full time
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Lokomotiv58%
Draw35%
CSKA Moscow7%
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Lokomotiv
Win probability
Lokomotiv
58%
Draw
35%
CSKA Moscow
7%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lokomotiv
34
CSKA Moscow
9
Defence
Lokomotiv
91
CSKA Moscow
66
Momentum
Lokomotiv
100
CSKA Moscow
0
Danger (xG)
Lokomotiv
0.90
CSKA Moscow
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Lokomotiv)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (CSKA Moscow)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Lokomotiv)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (CSKA Moscow)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
LokomotivLokomotiv
WL
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
LDWWD

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Lokomotiv58%
Draw35%
CSKA Moscow7%

Lokomotiv leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lokomotiv head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while CSKA Moscow arrive in mixed form (L). Lokomotiv have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for CSKA Moscow over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Lokomotiv (91/100) and CSKA Moscow (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Lokomotiv have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. CSKA Moscow have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

CSKA Moscow have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 2 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Lokomotiv to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Lokomotiv 5846%, Draw 3500%, CSKA Moscow 654%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Lokomotiv 1Draws 01 CSKA Moscow
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
14 Jul 2026
Lokomotiv
W10
CSKA Moscow
17 May 2026
Lokomotiv
L12
CSKA Moscow

Recent form

Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv

W
vs CSKA Moscow
14 Jul 2026
10
L
@ CSKA Moscow
17 May 2026
12
CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

L
@ Lokomotiv
14 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
30 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Lokomotiv
17 May 2026
21
W
@ Nizhny Novgorod
11 May 2026
21
D
@ Rubin
25 Apr 2026
00
xG 0.0

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

GoalVio's model predicts Lokomotiv to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more