Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv 1-1 Akron
Original prediction
Lokomotiv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 57.2% | 44.2% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.5% | 28.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.83 | 19.4% | 27.6% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LokomotivWWLDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AkronLLWDD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LokomotivAkron
11.1Attack11.1
77.8Defence55.6
22.2Form44.4
40.2Power40.1
1.18xG0.91