GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/30/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Sofia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sportist Svoge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Sofia hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Sofia

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Lokomotiv Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv SofiaDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportist SvogeDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lokomotiv SofiaSportist Svoge
57.6Attack33.3
57.6Defence52.4
60.6Form33.3
59.9Power42.7
1.98xG0.89
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