GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Sofia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lokomotiv Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Radnik Surdulica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Radnik Surdulica hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lokomotiv Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Sofia

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Lokomotiv Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lokomotiv SofiaWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Radnik SurdulicaWDDWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv SofiaRadnik Surdulica
57.6Attack25.0
57.6Defence100.0
60.6Form66.7
59.9Power66.3
1.63xG1.06
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