Lokomotiv Sofiavs
Botev Vratsa
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/17/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lokomotiv Sofia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Botev Vratsa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Sofia hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv Sofia
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Lokomotiv Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60