Lokomotiv Plovdivvs
Slavia Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.5% | 30.9% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.0% | 35.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.5% | 34.1% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–0 Slavia Sofia
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lokomotiv PlovdivWWDWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Slavia SofiaLWLDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivSlavia Sofia
18.2Attack27.3
57.6Defence72.7
24.2Form33.3
36.5Power46.1
0.42xG0.65